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Last Updated: 07/31/2024
Due to prolonged survival, surrogate endpoints for OS are needed in CRPC to assess clinical efficacy within a feasible time frame.2,20
MFS assesses the time interval from PSA recurrence (or start of trial/randomization) to first radiographic metastasis or death.1,2,23
In this systematic review of 19 randomized controlled trials evaluating 21 study units in 12,712 patients with localized prostate cancer, the correlation between OS and MFS was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.91-0.91) at the patient level, as measured by Kendall’s τ. At the trial level, R2 was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.71-0.88) from weighted linear regression of 8-year OS rates vs 5year MFS rates. The treatment effect (measured by log HR) for MFS and OS was well correlated (R2, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.81-0.95]).1 Similarly, in an analysis of patients with nmCRPC at a single cancer center, MFS was found to be strongly correlated with OS in a real world population.24
In a retrospective study using the Optum electronic health record database in patients with nmCRPC, MFS independently predicted mortality risk. Patients developing metastasis within 1 year had a 4.4-fold greater risk for mortality (95% CI, 2.2-8.8) than those who remained metastasis-free at year 3.25
Delaying metastases, or extending MFS, may also delay symptomatic progression, morbidity, mortality, costs, and healthcare resource utilization.26
MFS was the primary endpoint of the pivotal study, SPARTAN, used to support regulatory agency approval of ERLEADA.3,28
The appropriate primary efficacy endpoint to use in trials for study patients with nmCRPC was addressed at two meetings of the Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) Oncology Drugs Advisory Committee. The first meeting was non-product specific and discussed general issues related to the development of drugs for the treatment of nmCRPC, while the second meeting was focused on the review of a specific drug for potential approval in the nmCRPC setting. There was recognition that the transition to a state where the patient developed measurable metastatic disease represented a significant event for patients with nmCRPC. A consensus emerged that an MFS endpoint would likely be clinically meaningful if it was of sufficient magnitude and was accompanied by data from supportive secondary endpoints such as OS. Approval of ERLEADA based on MFS, the primary efficacy endpoint of SPARTAN, established a new regulatory precedent.28
Additionally, in November 2018, the FDA issued a draft guidance which provides recommendations to sponsors regarding the use of MFS as an endpoint in clinical trials for nmCRPC development programs for drug or biological products regulated by the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research (CDER) and the Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER). The FDA has recognized that a prolonged delay in development of metastatic disease is an objective and clinically relevant measure. Furthermore, FDA has stated that future agents may be approved on the basis of MFS only if substantial effects on MFS are demonstrated and the safety profile is acceptable for a medication taken long-term.29
Results from the SPARTAN study have been summarized in the CLINICAL DATA section.
SPARTAN (NCT01946204) was a phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter study (Figure: SPARTAN Study Design). A total of 332 sites in 26 countries in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific were included.
Abbreviations: ADT, androgen deprivation therapy; CT, computed tomography; GnRH, gonadotropin-releasing hormone; MFS, metastasis-free survival; mCRPC; metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; nmCRPC, non-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; PSADT, prostate-specific antigen doubling time.
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Additional information regarding the SPARTAN study, including the clinical study report, protocol, and statistical analysis plan, can be found at: https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/nda/2018/Erleada_210951_toc.cfm (scroll to the “Sponsor Clinical Study Reports ARN-509-003 SPARTAN NCT # 01946204” section at the bottom of the web page).
A literature search of MEDLINE®
1 | Xie W, Regan M, Buyse M, et al. Metastasis-free survival is a strong surrogate of overall survival in localized prostate cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(27):3097-3104. |
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